It is easy to do a quick mathematical calculation to work out whether QPR or Bolton are more likely to be relegated, though of course the probabilities involved are subjective.
For QPR to be relegated, QPR must lose and Bolton must win, any other permutation would result in Bolton being relegated. So if we say the probability of QPR losing is 17/20 and Bolton winning is 7/20, then the probability of one event and the other event happening is 17/20 x 7/20 or 119/400, so much less than half.
Even if you say the probability of QPR losing is 19/20 and Bolton winning is 10/20, then still the probability of both events happening is 190/400, so still less than half.
In other words, from a probability point of view,it is much better right now to be a QPR fan. Put your money on the R' s.
For QPR to be relegated, QPR must lose and Bolton must win, any other permutation would result in Bolton being relegated. So if we say the probability of QPR losing is 17/20 and Bolton winning is 7/20, then the probability of one event and the other event happening is 17/20 x 7/20 or 119/400, so much less than half.
Even if you say the probability of QPR losing is 19/20 and Bolton winning is 10/20, then still the probability of both events happening is 190/400, so still less than half.
In other words, from a probability point of view,it is much better right now to be a QPR fan. Put your money on the R' s.
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