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**Sixth Place**

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  • **Sixth Place**

    On average how many points (and what goal difference) does a team need to finish 6th in the Championship?

    Listed below are the teams that finished 6th for the previous 10 seasons:
    2008/09 - Preston - 74 pts - Goal Difference +12 (Play off by GD)
    2007/08 - Watford - 70 pts - Goal Difference +6 (Play off by GD)
    2006/07 - Southampton - 75 pts - Goal Difference +24
    2005/06 - Crystal Palace - 75 pts - Goal Difference +19
    2004/05 - West Ham - 73 pts - Goal Difference +10
    2003/04 - Crystal Palace - 73pts - Goal Difference +11
    2002/03 - Nottingham Forest - 74 pts - Goal Difference +32
    2001/02 - Norwich City - 75 pts - Goal Difference +9 (Play off by GD)
    2000/01 - West Brom - 74 pts - Goal Difference +8
    1999/00 - Bolton - 76 pts - Goal Difference +19

    The average is 73.9 (rounded to 74 points) but on three occassions 74 points would not have been enough to have finished 6th:
    • In 2006/07 Preston finished 7th on 74 points behind Southampton with 75.
    • In 2001/02 Burnley finished 7th with 75 points behind Norwich on goal difference.
    • In 99/00 Wolves and Huddersfield finished 7th and 8th on 74 points behind Bolton on 76.


    74 points is the equivalent to 1.608 points per game or 16 points after 10 matches, 32 after 20, 48 after 30, 64 after 40 and 10 points from the remaining 6 matches. Throughout the season I will update my blog of how many points we are ahead and behind the 1.608 points per game needed to achieve the golden 74 points.

    On 3 occassions in the previous 10 seasons 6th place has been achieved by having a superior goal difference than the team in 7th. The average goal difference over this time is +15 goals. An average which is increased due to Nottingham Forest finishing 02/03 with +32. If you take the highest (+32) and the lowest (+6) out of this the average reduces to +13. Even with this reduced average QPR would need to first accumulate the points and then achieve a positive goal difference, which would be our first since our promotion season in 2003/04.

  • #2
    Sporting Index spreads on season points

    West Brom Points SELL 75 - 77 BUY
    Sheffield Utd Points SELL 72.5 - 74.5 BUY
    Middlesbrough Points SELL 72 - 74 BUY
    Ipswich Points SELL 71.5 - 73.5 BUY
    Reading Points SELL 70 - 72 BUY
    Newcastle Points SELL 68.5 - 70.5 BUY
    Cardiff Points SELL 68 - 70 BUY
    Preston Points SELL 65.5 - 67.5 BUY
    QPR Points SELL 64.5 - 66.5 BUY
    Nottm Forest Points SELL 64 - 66 BUY
    Bristol City Points SELL 62.5 - 64.5 BUY
    Derby Points SELL 62.5 - 64.5 BUY
    Leicester Points SELL 62.5 - 64.5 BUY
    Sheffield Wed Points SELL 61 - 63 BUY
    Swansea Points SELL 59.5 - 61.5 BUY
    Crystal Palace Points SELL 59 - 61 BUY
    Peterborough Points SELL 58.5 - 60.5 BUY
    Doncaster Points SELL 55.5 - 57.5 BUY
    Coventry Points SELL 54.5 - 56.5 BUY
    Watford Points SELL 54 - 56 BUY
    Plymouth Points SELL 52 - 54 BUY
    Blackpool Points SELL 50.5 - 52.5 BUY
    Barnsley Points SELL 49.5 - 51.5 BUY
    S****horpe Points SELL 48.5 - 50.5 BUY
    I reckon we are worth a buy.

    Comment


    • #3
      23 wins and 6 draws will do then.
      We don't see things as they are, we see them as we are...

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      • #4
        Originally posted by NewarkR View Post
        23 wins and 6 draws will do then.
        I predict QPR wont win 23 games next season.

        More like W18-20/D14-16/L12-15 = Pts70-76.

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