Tweet
Hi there,
Everyone understandably equates our promotion chances with the arrival of a guaranteed 20-goal striker. I don't disagree. It's clear that the presence of at least one is indispensable for a top two finish.
However, let's assume that no new striker comes. Clearly, the foundations - our defence + keeper - of the team are very strong. We should assume that a left-back at least arrives. Last season this defensive squad conceded just 44 goals. Perhaps we should add 10 on to this total, believing that Magilton will get the team risking more by attacking more. So we can guesstimate a total season's goals conceded tally of about 55 goals.
The teams in 5th and 6th place scored 72 and 66 goals respectively for a goal difference of +12 each. So the next question is where do an extra 30 to 35 goals come from? I would suggest that our current squad is very capable of getting 70 goals. Buzacky will not only get you at least 10 himself but his set pieces will surely get more 5 or so goals for the likes of Stewart and Leigertwood. Vine also will get 10. And, on previous form, we can confidently hope that Agyemang will score more with Vine alongside him. Rowlands is also good for 5 to 10 next season. Don't know about Faurlin.
So, it suddenly becomes quite feasible for our current squad (assuming they can stay fit for most of the season) to end the coming season with a goal difference of +20 or +25. This, it would seem, would be enough for the play-offs at least.
How about that for a considered piece of optimistic thinking?
Everyone understandably equates our promotion chances with the arrival of a guaranteed 20-goal striker. I don't disagree. It's clear that the presence of at least one is indispensable for a top two finish.
However, let's assume that no new striker comes. Clearly, the foundations - our defence + keeper - of the team are very strong. We should assume that a left-back at least arrives. Last season this defensive squad conceded just 44 goals. Perhaps we should add 10 on to this total, believing that Magilton will get the team risking more by attacking more. So we can guesstimate a total season's goals conceded tally of about 55 goals.
The teams in 5th and 6th place scored 72 and 66 goals respectively for a goal difference of +12 each. So the next question is where do an extra 30 to 35 goals come from? I would suggest that our current squad is very capable of getting 70 goals. Buzacky will not only get you at least 10 himself but his set pieces will surely get more 5 or so goals for the likes of Stewart and Leigertwood. Vine also will get 10. And, on previous form, we can confidently hope that Agyemang will score more with Vine alongside him. Rowlands is also good for 5 to 10 next season. Don't know about Faurlin.
So, it suddenly becomes quite feasible for our current squad (assuming they can stay fit for most of the season) to end the coming season with a goal difference of +20 or +25. This, it would seem, would be enough for the play-offs at least.
How about that for a considered piece of optimistic thinking?
Comment