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Updated this since our wins over Reading and Derby:
Over the past 10 seasons the average points per game needed to finish in the top 6 is 1.608 (which equates to 74 points over a 46 match season) Below are two columns the left being the number of matches times by 1.608 and the left column is the points that Preston had accumulated on a match per match basis last season when they finished 6th.
13 matches = 21 points ---- Preston 13 matches = 17 points
14 matches = 23 points ---- Preston 14 matches = 20 points
15 matches = 24 points ---- Preston 15 matches = 20 points
16 matches = 26 points ---- Preston 16 matches = 21 points
17 matches = 27 points ---- Preston 17 matches = 24 points
18 matches = 29 points ---- Preston 18 matches = 27 points
19 matches = 31 points ---- Preston 19 matches = 28 points
20 matches = 32 points ---- Preston 20 matches = 31 points
After 13 matches last season:
Preston = 17 points
Burnley = 20 points
Sheffield United = 21 points
Reading = 24 points
Wolves = 28 points
Birmingham = 30 points
As you can see at the same stage we are ahead of where Preston, Burnley and Sheffield United were and only a single point behind Reading. Wolves and Birmingham were way ahead of the pack and stayed there pretty much all season.
Interesting to note these eventual league winners:
After 13 matches in 2007/08
WBA = 23 points
After 13 matches in 2006/07
Sunderland = 16 points
I know some will say that what happened in the past is no reflection to what might happen this season but averages are averages and are a good starting point to see how our season is going. Last season I created a similar type thread on the old proboard and stated that the team in 6th will finish with 74 points (see http://www.wearetherangersboys.com/f...ad.php?t=13885). This wasn't an educated guess but used the stats to prove a point and this season will be no different the top 6 will all average 74 points or more.
Over the past 10 seasons the average points per game needed to finish in the top 6 is 1.608 (which equates to 74 points over a 46 match season) Below are two columns the left being the number of matches times by 1.608 and the left column is the points that Preston had accumulated on a match per match basis last season when they finished 6th.
13 matches = 21 points ---- Preston 13 matches = 17 points
14 matches = 23 points ---- Preston 14 matches = 20 points
15 matches = 24 points ---- Preston 15 matches = 20 points
16 matches = 26 points ---- Preston 16 matches = 21 points
17 matches = 27 points ---- Preston 17 matches = 24 points
18 matches = 29 points ---- Preston 18 matches = 27 points
19 matches = 31 points ---- Preston 19 matches = 28 points
20 matches = 32 points ---- Preston 20 matches = 31 points
After 13 matches last season:
Preston = 17 points
Burnley = 20 points
Sheffield United = 21 points
Reading = 24 points
Wolves = 28 points
Birmingham = 30 points
As you can see at the same stage we are ahead of where Preston, Burnley and Sheffield United were and only a single point behind Reading. Wolves and Birmingham were way ahead of the pack and stayed there pretty much all season.
Interesting to note these eventual league winners:
After 13 matches in 2007/08
WBA = 23 points
After 13 matches in 2006/07
Sunderland = 16 points
I know some will say that what happened in the past is no reflection to what might happen this season but averages are averages and are a good starting point to see how our season is going. Last season I created a similar type thread on the old proboard and stated that the team in 6th will finish with 74 points (see http://www.wearetherangersboys.com/f...ad.php?t=13885). This wasn't an educated guess but used the stats to prove a point and this season will be no different the top 6 will all average 74 points or more.
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