Originally posted by jmelanie
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Originally posted by nasser95 View PostYou think what you want, but you don't go around calling people deluded because they aren't negative about our chances. 4 points off the play offs and it only gets closer if we beat Bristol on Tuesday so I'm willing to take my chances and continue legitimately backing the team for promotion and I'd like to do it without being called deluded.
"4 points off the play offs...."
....and 6 points off the relegation spot. The definition of a mid table team.
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[QUOTE=nasser95;[/QUOTE]
Tell me how many points you think we'll get out of this lot (which will take us through to Christmas). I think we'll get an average of a point a game if we're lucky:
Bristol City (H) - Draw
Sheff Wed (A) - Loss
Brentford (H) - Draw
Nottm Forest (H) - Win
Norwich (H) - Lose
Ipswich (A) - Draw
Wolves (H) - Win
Rotherham (A) - Draw
Derby (H) - Draw
Aston Villa (H) - Loss
Brighton (A) - Loss
Wolves (A) - Draw
So like I say, deluded. We'll be lower mid-table with half the season gone.Last edited by surrey_hoop; 15-10-2016, 09:26 PM.
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Originally posted by surrey_hoop View PostI called you deluded because you are deluded. All of the facts are on my side of the argument too - we aren't scoring enough, we're conceding too many (which would explain the negative GD) and we can't win at home to save our lives (which any promotion push is built on). This team has virtually no chance of promotion whilst Ferdinand is buying the players and JFH is not motivating them to play to their potential, or worse still playing them completely out of position.
"4 points off the play offs...."
....and 6 points off the relegation spot. The definition of a mid table team.
First 6 matches - 5th for goals scored, 8th for least goals conceded. Last 5 Matches - 10th on scored, 12th on conceded so just above midtable there.
So as I said, that Newcastle result is the key blip that makes the whole thing look worse. Now, you can think what you want and I can't blame you for thinking that we won't go up, I can understand why you do. But again, if you don't mind, instead of using a derogatory way of describing me and the way I believe the season will pan out, how about we just agree to disagree.
Also, in your opinion, who today was played out of position? Because the only one I saw was Lynch and that is because he's covering for a lack of left backs."What stats allow you to do is not take things at face value. The idea that I trust my eyes more than the stats, I just don't buy that because I've seen magicians pull rabbits out of hats and I know I just know that rabbit's not in there." - Billy Beane
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Originally posted by surrey_hoop View PostTell me how many points you think we'll get out of this lot (which will take us through to Christmas). I think we'll get an average of a point a game if we're lucky:
Bristol City (H) - Draw
Sheff Wed (A) - Loss
Brentford (H) - Draw
Nottm Forest (H) - Win
Norwich (H) - Lose
Ipswich (A) - Draw
Wolves (H) - Win
Rotherham (A) - Draw
Derby (H) - Draw
Aston Villa (H) - Loss
Brighton (A) - Loss
Wolves (A) - Draw
So like I say, deluded. We'll be lower mid-table with half the season gone.
Sheff Wed (A) - Draw
Brentford (H) - Win
Nottm Forest (H) - Win
Norwich (H) - Lose
Ipswich (A) - Win
Wolves (H) - Win
Rotherham (A) - Win
Derby (H) - Draw
Aston Villa (H) - Draw
Brighton (A) - Loss
Wolves (A) - Draw
22 points there, 1.83 per game, pretty decent and certainly not deluded."What stats allow you to do is not take things at face value. The idea that I trust my eyes more than the stats, I just don't buy that because I've seen magicians pull rabbits out of hats and I know I just know that rabbit's not in there." - Billy Beane
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Originally posted by James1979 View PostYou can't exclude games from a goal difference to make a point! Why not just exclude all the games we lost!"What stats allow you to do is not take things at face value. The idea that I trust my eyes more than the stats, I just don't buy that because I've seen magicians pull rabbits out of hats and I know I just know that rabbit's not in there." - Billy Beane
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Originally posted by nasser95 View PostFrankly, the negative goal difference is brought about by one poor game as we all know (that's a contextual fact and is more relevant than just using the raw number like you do). In our last 5 matches, the goal difference is 0, in our first 6, the goal difference is plus 3. The Newcastle match was the blip result wise.
First 6 matches - 5th for goals scored, 8th for least goals conceded. Last 5 Matches - 10th on scored, 12th on conceded so just above midtable there.
So as I said, that Newcastle result is the key blip that makes the whole thing look worse. Now, you can think what you want and I can't blame you for thinking that we won't go up, I can understand why you do. But again, if you don't mind, instead of using a derogatory way of describing me and the way I believe the season will pan out, how about we just agree to disagree.
Also, in your opinion, who today was played out of position? Because the only one I saw was Lynch and that is because he's covering for a lack of left backs.
And 3 of those goals were penalties. Since they dried up, we've seen the real QPR. Swings and roundabouts.
"But again, if you don't mind, instead of using a derogatory way of describing me and the way I believe the season will pan out, how about we just agree to disagree."
Good luck finding anyone who agrees with you. I haven't read a single other comment from anyone else who thinks we can make the play-offs, and I don't think I will either.
In terms of players being played out of position....if you can't see the wood for the trees and want to use one outlier of an example in order to support your opinion, be my guest. I'm refering to the last year under JFH, not one game.
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Originally posted by 1973 ranger View PostOne statistic which unacceptable is 1 league win at home!"What stats allow you to do is not take things at face value. The idea that I trust my eyes more than the stats, I just don't buy that because I've seen magicians pull rabbits out of hats and I know I just know that rabbit's not in there." - Billy Beane
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Originally posted by nasser95 View PostBristol City (H) - Win
Sheff Wed (A) - Draw
Brentford (H) - Win
Nottm Forest (H) - Win
Norwich (H) - Lose
Ipswich (A) - Win
Wolves (H) - Win
Rotherham (A) - Win
Derby (H) - Draw
Aston Villa (H) - Draw
Brighton (A) - Loss
Wolves (A) - Draw
22 points there, 1.83 per game, pretty decent and certainly not deluded.
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